http://www.scienceline.org/2008/01/09/env-grant-hurricanes/ The Shortest Distance Between You and Science Thu, 18 Mar 2010 11:25:39 -0400 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.4 hourly 1 http://www.scienceline.org/2008/01/09/env-grant-hurricanes/comment-page-1/#comment-1315 karlos Mon, 21 Jan 2008 21:54:38 +0000 http://scienceline.org/2008/01/09/env-grant-hurricanes/#comment-1315 An in depth look at Klotzback and Gray's forecasts show that you cannot predict hurricanes with any degree of accuracy. An average mathematician can use probability to come up with more accurate forecasts than our friends in Colorado. Despite all the science of ocean temperatures, trade winds and African rainfall, K&G have shown there is no correlation that gives makes their forecast any better than the bookies in Vegas. Sorry guys - you had a good run a while back, but as they say in poker: "even a blind squirrel finds a nut every now and then." An in depth look at Klotzback and Gray’s forecasts show that you cannot predict hurricanes with any degree of accuracy. An average mathematician can use probability to come up with more accurate forecasts than our friends in Colorado. Despite all the science of ocean temperatures, trade winds and African rainfall, K&G have shown there is no correlation that gives makes their forecast any better than the bookies in Vegas. Sorry guys – you had a good run a while back, but as they say in poker: “even a blind squirrel finds a nut every now and then.”

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